Conditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran pre-emptively nuke Israel?
GeopolitikOne-OffNaher Osten4J
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Veraltet20. März 26, 23:27 UTC1. Jan. 31, 00:26 UTC
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Conditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran nuke Israel?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran use a nuclear weapon in combat by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a nuclear weapon be used or tested by 2030
Manifold MarketsIran Nuke before 2027?
PolymarketWill a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves yes if Iran builds a nuclear weapon and then pre-emptively nukes Israel, without Israel first nuking Iran.
- Resolves N/A if Iran does not develop a nuclear weapon.