Conditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran pre-emptively nuke Israel?
GeopolitikOne-OffMiddle East4JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 86.1%
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10
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet20. März 26, 23:27 UTC1. Jan. 31, 00:26 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Conditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran nuke Israel?
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PolymarketWill a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves yes if Iran builds a nuclear weapon and then pre-emptively nukes Israel, without Israel first nuking Iran.
- Resolves N/A if Iran does not develop a nuclear weapon.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Conditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran pre-emptively nuke Israel??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 86% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Conditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran pre-emptively nuke Israel? entschieden?
- Conditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran pre-emptively nuke Israel? soll am 1. Januar 2031 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Conditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran pre-emptively nuke Israel? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves yes if Iran builds a nuclear weapon and then pre-emptively nukes Israel, without Israel first nuking Iran.