Conditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran nuke Israel?
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Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
20. März 26, 23:07 UTC1. Jan. 31, 00:04 UTC
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Conditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran pre-emptively nuke Israel?
Manifold MarketsIran Nuke before 2027?
PolymarketWill Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran use a nuclear weapon in combat by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a nuclear weapon be used or tested by 2030
Manifold MarketsWill a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves yes if Iran builds a nuclear bomb and then nukes Israel.
- Both a nuclear first strike and a response to Israeli nuclear weapons use count as yes.
- Resolves N/A if Iran does not develop a nuclear weapon.