Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseBefore 2050 70.3%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Prognostiker
81
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet18. Okt. 25, 21:15 UTC1. Jan. 50, 22:13 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If the ICJ rules Israel is not committing genocide in Gaza, will this appear on Wikipedia's main page within 30 days?
Manifold MarketsGaza genocide still labeled as genocide by Wikipedia in 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza, Palestine?
Manifold MarketsWill an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketForeign intervention in Gaza by which date?
PolymarketU.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve when Wikipedia stops identifying Gaza as a genocide for a 168 hour period.
- Then all dates after the current date resolve YES and all dates before resolve NO.
- Specifically, the market will resolve if:
- The English Wikipedia article currently titled "Gaza genocide" is either deleted, renamed to a title that does not include "genocide" (e.g., "Gaza conflict," "Israel-Hamas war allegations," or similar without the term "genocide" directly asserting it), or its lead section (the first paragraph) is fundamentally altered to remove the assertion that the conflict is a genocide.
- This needs to hold for a week.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für By when will Wikipedia stop considering Gaza a genocide??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Before 2050 mit 70% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird By when will Wikipedia stop considering Gaza a genocide? entschieden?
- By when will Wikipedia stop considering Gaza a genocide? soll am 1. Januar 2050 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird By when will Wikipedia stop considering Gaza a genocide? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution Criteria