Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
1.5 Pkt. (24h)Middle EastOne-Off1J
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 87%+1.5pt
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
9695,8 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
12.0% / 14.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+0.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
29. Juni 26, 20:14 UTC1. Jan. 28, 04:59 UTC
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if he International Criminal Court ("ICC"), the International Court of Justice ("ICJ"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a judgment or conviction finding that either the State of Israel or any current or former Israeli official committed genocide or acts of genocide by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
- A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
- Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
- The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
