KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 97%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
91.330,2 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
4.0% / 4.1%
Spread
0.1 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
1. März 26, 15:00 UTC1. März 27, 14:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketRegeln
If Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index is at least 6.00 as published in the EIU Democracy Index 2026 report, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The Economist
Offene Märkte
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 25,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 694.974,4 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 107.602,4 €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 104.509,2 €
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Iran become a democracy in 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 97% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Iran become a democracy in 2026? entschieden?
- Will Iran become a democracy in 2026? soll am 1. März 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Iran become a democracy in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index is at least 6.00 as published in the EIU Democracy Index 2026 report, then the market resolves to Yes.