Will China, Iran, Saudi Arabia, or Russia become a democracy first?
KI
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Russia 33.3%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
14
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet8. Juli 24, 16:56 UTC31. Dez. 49, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
As classified by their polity score or V-DEM score https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polity_data_series#Scores_for_2018
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/V-Dem_Democracy_Indices
- Update 2025-11-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If both Polity score and V-DEM score are discontinued, the creator will update the market to use other democracy scores for resolution.
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will China, Iran, Saudi Arabia, or Russia become a democracy first??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Russia mit 33% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will China, Iran, Saudi Arabia, or Russia become a democracy first? entschieden?
- Will China, Iran, Saudi Arabia, or Russia become a democracy first? soll am 31. Dezember 2049 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will China, Iran, Saudi Arabia, or Russia become a democracy first? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: As classified by their polity score or V-DEM score https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polity_data_series#Scores_for_2018