FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 92%
Nein 92%Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
752,7 €
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by which date?
PolymarketGerman troops deployed in Ukraine by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill US troops be deployed to Ukraine-Russia border in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf NATO troops fight in the Ukraine war, will Russia use a nuclear weapon?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will deploy troops to Ukraine in 2026?
FutuurRegeln
This event predicts whether the Russian Federation will complete a full withdrawal of its military troops from the internationally recognized territory of Georgia at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements by the Russian or Georgian governments, or verified international monitoring reports confirming withdrawal.
- If Russia fully withdraws all military personnel from Georgian territory during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Partial withdrawals or redeployments that leave any Russian military presence in Georgia will not count.
- If official confirmations are disputed, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations.