NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by which date?
US PoliticsOne-OffGeopolitikRussia / UkraineEurope3Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
2026 7%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
34 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
14.918,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätKommentare
14
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
31. Jan. 25, 23:41 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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FutuurWill the US announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops from Europe by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich countries will deploy troops to Ukraine in 2026?
FutuurRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if active military personnel officially affiliated with any NATO or EU country enter Ukraine for combat-related military purposes directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with Russia by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, they must be 1) officially acknowledged as active military by the NATO or EU entity or member state they are affiliated with; 2) be publicly acknowledged by NATO or an EU-affiliated entity to have entered Ukraine for a combat-related military purpose directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with Russia.
- For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution they need be active duty and acknowledged as described above.
- Participation in a combat role is necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes" (e.g. military personnel providing training or intelligence support would not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, however drone pilots or infantry directly attacking Russian troops, or soldiers targeting and downing missiles from Ukrainian soil would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution).
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
