FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Latvia 3%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Latvia 3%Marktqualitat
26 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
1595,6 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTrader
13
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Israel annex any territory by which date?
PolymarketWill US annex any territory in 2026?
PolymarketRussia annex Svalbard before EOY2027.
Manifold MarketsWill Russia annex either Abkhazia or South Ossetia before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia annex Belarus until 2030?
Manifold MarketsBy 2063, will the Republic of China annex any territory in the mainland?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This event predicts whether the Russian Federation will annex territory from any of the listed countries by December 31, 2026, 23:59:59 UTC.
- Annexation for the purpose of this event means Russia formally claiming authority over any portion of such territory and deploying or maintaining Russian military forces exercising effective control over that area.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements or legal acts issued by the Russian government asserting annexation, together with confirmation of Russian military presence and control.
- If claims of annexation are disputed, unclear, or lack confirmation by authoritative sources, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be a clear and consistent consensus reported by major international organizations or reputable news agencies (such as the United Nations, Reuters, AP, or BBC) confirming de facto annexation and effective control.
- These markets will be resolved according to the substantive outcome — whether Russia effectively annexes and controls territory — rather than minor technicalities of wording or recognition.
- If no fair determination is possible by the end of the Market Period, Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation.