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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 46 Minuten
Verzogert29. März 23, 02:30 UTC1. Jan. 64, 02:59 UTC
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will China annex any portion of Russia/Siberia by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill US annex any territory in 2026?
PolymarketWill Israel annex any territory by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia annex territory from _____ in 2026?
FutuurWill Israel formally annex new territory during Trump's term?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market solves to YES if the state called Republic of China, based in the island of Taiwan, has control of territory in mainland China.
- I'll rely on the facts on the ground.
- The land has to be in peace for this market to resolve to YES.
- If by market close they have disputed control or are in the process of taking control, this market resolves to NO.
- This market resolves to NO preemptively if the state of the Republic of China ceases to exist for 1 year.
- I'll rely in the mainstream media outlets.
