FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 94%
Nein 94%Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
648,8 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTrader
11
Kommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall?
Manifold MarketsWill Bangladesh turn into an Islamic Republic by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran get a nuclear weapon before the Islamic Republic falls?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This event predicts whether the state of Iran will formally cease to be designated as an Islamic Republic at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, a qualifying outcome means an official change in the country’s constitutional name or form of government that removes the “Islamic Republic” designation.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements by Iran’s government or constitutional documents reflecting such a change.
- If Iran officially changes its constitutional name or form of government to omit the “Islamic Republic” designation during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- A coup, contested proclamation, or unrecognized declaration will not count unless acknowledged by Iran’s governing institutions or recognized by the United Nations.