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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Geopolítica
  3. Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

0.1% (24h)One-OffGeopolíticaMiddle East16d
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
June 30
June 30 3%+0.1%
Líder entre 7 opções
Qualidade do mercado

52 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

414,5 €

Liquidez

17,5 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

2.7% / 3.9%

Spread

44.4%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

-6.2%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 5 minutos

10/10/25, 15:2730/06/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
October 31
October 31
0%
December 31
December 31
0%
November 30
November 30
0%
November 7
November 7
0%
March 31
March 31
0%

Resultado escolhido

June 303%

Regras

On October 9, Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
  • Announcements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to "Yes"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to "Yes".
  • The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$64,519.89+1.64%EthereumETH$1,687.34+1.32%SolanaSOL$69.41+4.08%DogecoinDOGE$0.0884+1.09%XRPXRP$1.15+1.90%BNBBNB$610.09+1.03%

Notícias Relacionadas

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Regras

On October 9, Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
  • Announcements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to "Yes"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to "Yes".
  • The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.