FutuurVerificar disponibilidadeDados de resolução verificadosAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem cotações ao vivo
Dados de 27 de out. de 2026, 17:46 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Probabilidade implícita atual
December 31 15%
December 31 15%Qualidade do mercado
27 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
1,8 mil €
Baixa liquidezTraders
4
Comentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
Tendências
Regras
This set of markets predicts whether the Israel–Hamas ceasefire, in effect since October 2025, will be cancelled.
- Each of the markets below covers one possible deadline; any number of these markets may resolve to "Yes".
- A market resolves to "Yes" if either Israel or Hamas announces the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a wide consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, on or before the market's deadline.
- Announcements or reports that one side violated the ceasefire are not sufficient on their own; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or a wide consensus of credible reporting that the ceasefire has ended, qualifies.
- Once the condition is first met, the resolution is final and irrevocable, even if a ceasefire is subsequently restored.
- The Primary Designated Sources are official information from the Government of Israel and from Hamas.
