Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
2.5% (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffGeopolíticaMiddle EastEntretenimentoMusic5m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atualDecember 31 13%+2.5%Líder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado
44 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
87,9 €
Liquidez
14,2 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
11.0% / 15.0%
Spread
36.4%
Spread amploVariação 7d
-14.5%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 minutos
9/10/25, 19:1731/12/26, 0:00
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
December 3113%
Comparar plataformas· December 31
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Baixa | 13% | — | 87,9 € | 14,2 mil € | há 13 minutos | |
 Futuur93% de correspondência · auto | Baixa | 81% | — | 0 € | 1,1 mil € | há 13 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Futuur
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by which date?
5m
81%
19%
28 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoBaixa liquidezMercado raso
Volume total0 €
Volume 24h0 €
FUTUURRegras
On October 8, an agreement on an initial ceasefire (Phase 1) was announced, constituting a halt in fighting, a partial Israeli pullback to a “yellow line,” prisoner swaps, expanded aid, and the release of hostages.
- A second phase of the deal, yet to be negotiated, is expected to address further Israeli withdrawal, Hamas’s disarmament, and the establishment of new security and governance arrangements in Gaza.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement for the second phase of the Israel–Hamas ceasefire, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Israel and Hamas by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
- For purposes of this market, a “second phase” ceasefire agreement refers to a deal publicly acknowledged by both Israel and Hamas (directly or via recognized mediators such as the U.S., Egypt, or Qatar) that goes beyond the Phase 1 initial truce and includes commitments towards a comprehensive or “full” ceasefire.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$1002 de jul.25d de dados26 de jul.
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On October 8, an agreement on an initial ceasefire (Phase 1) was announced, constituting a halt in fighting, a partial Israeli pullback to a “yellow line,” prisoner swaps, expanded aid, and the release of hostages.
- A second phase of the deal, yet to be negotiated, is expected to address further Israeli withdrawal, Hamas’s disarmament, and the establishment of new security and governance arrangements in Gaza.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement for the second phase of the Israel–Hamas ceasefire, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Israel and Hamas by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
- For purposes of this market, a “second phase” ceasefire agreement refers to a deal publicly acknowledged by both Israel and Hamas (directly or via recognized mediators such as the U.S., Egypt, or Qatar) that goes beyond the Phase 1 initial truce and includes commitments towards a comprehensive or “full” ceasefire.