PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atualJuly 31 5%-4.3%Líder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado
61 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
9,8 mil €
Liquidez
21,6 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
4.9% / 5.5%
Spread
12.2%
Spread amploVariação 7d
-11.7%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 20 minutos
26/06/26, 18:4431/07/26, 23:59
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
July 315%
Grandes negociações
$2.0k77.2%POLYMARKET0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? — Noyenkyhá 5 dias
POLYMARKET0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? — Noyenkyhá 5 diasTendência de volume
$11.1k2 de jul.25d de dados26 de jul.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to 0 for any date between June 26 and the specified date, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No."
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF PortWatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to 0, or once complete data has been published for the specified period without such a publication.
- If complete data for the specified period has not been published within 28 calendar days of the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.