PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atualSim 28%+0.1%
Qualidade do mercado
89 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
127,8 mil €
Liquidez
125,1 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
27.0% / 28.0%
Spread
3.7%
Spread moderadoVariação 7d
+8.5%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 minutos
2/07/26, 21:4930/09/26, 0:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Yes28%
Comparar plataformas· No
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Alta | 73% | — | 127,8 mil € | 125,1 mil € | há 18 minutos | |
 Manifold Markets85% de correspondência · auto | — | 97% | — | — | — | anteontem | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Manifold Markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Metaculus]
2m
96.6%
3.4%
Previsão da comunidade16 previsoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and September 30, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Grandes negociações
$1.1k24.0%POLYMARKETYesTorn-Mythhá 10 h
POLYMARKETYesTorn-Mythhá 10 h$14.2k78.0%POLYMARKETNogrinder1011há 23 h
POLYMARKETNogrinder1011há 23 h$1.2k78.0%POLYMARKETNoback-in-whackhá 3 dias
POLYMARKETNoback-in-whackhá 3 dias$2.4k76.0%POLYMARKETNolinethhá 5 dias
POLYMARKETNolinethhá 5 dias$1.1k76.0%POLYMARKETNojustThá 10 dias
POLYMARKETNojustThá 10 dias$1.4k69.0%POLYMARKETNoAMikehá 16 dias
POLYMARKETNoAMikehá 16 dias$1.1k43.7%POLYMARKETNoGollumGekkohá 22 dias
POLYMARKETNoGollumGekkohá 22 diasTendência de volume
$145.4k3 de jul.24d de dados26 de jul.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and September 30, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.