Will 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
One-OffMiddle EastGeopolíticaCommodities3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 97.6%
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Atualizado há 7 minutos
5/05/26, 18:06 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
- Update 2026-05-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will only consider days after market creation (not any day in 2026 including before creation).