Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 61.8%
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado16/07/24, 19:45 UTC31/12/26, 18:59 UTC
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Resolves according to Wikipedia article.
- Update 2025-06-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator clarified that:
- A mention of the eruption in the volcano's own Wikipedia article is sufficient.
- The Wikipedia page "List of volcanic eruptions in the 21st century" is also a key source, as such eruptions are typically listed there.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will there be a volcano eruption with VEI >= 4 by the end of 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 62% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will there be a volcano eruption with VEI >= 4 by the end of 2026? é resolvido?
- Will there be a volcano eruption with VEI >= 4 by the end of 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will there be a volcano eruption with VEI >= 4 by the end of 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves according to Wikipedia article.