Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Yes (79.8%)
Resolvido: 11 de out. de 2026, 05:01
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Resultado Vencedor
Yes
A 7 dias
—
A 24 horas
—
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 11 de out. de 2026, 17:40 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Yes79%
No21%
Ganhou
Perdeu
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Specifically, will before September 2026, will there be a proof of a finitely presented discrete MF group?
- If so, this would negatively resolve a long-standing open question about if all groups are MF.
- This was described as a major open problem in group theory, and a “holy-grail” alongside two other questions.
- GPT 5.6 Sol says the question is equivalent to: “Can every countable group be faithfully approximated by finite-dimensional unitary matrices when the approximation error is measured in operator norm?”
- This question resolves YES if a proof is given this month and is generally considered valid.
- If it takes longer than August to verify but the proof was written in August, it still resolved YES.