KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Before 2027 64%-8.0ptLíder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
52 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
585,7 €
Liquidez
801 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
12/09/26, 22:00 UTC1/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which AI lab will be the first to solve a millennium prize problem?
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If any AI lab solves another Millennium Prize Problem after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The GuardianNational Academy of Sciences of the United StatesFinancial TimesAssociated Pressthe Clay Mathematics InstituteNaturearXiv preprint repository operated by Cornell UniversityRoyal Societythe American Mathematical Societythe International Mathematical UnionThe Washington Postthe New York TimesMax Planck SocietyAmerican Association for the Advancement of ScienceBritish Broadcasting CorporationQuanta MagazineThe Wall Street JournalFrench Academy of SciencesBloomberg NewsReutersProceedings of the National Academy of SciencesThe Economist
- A Millennium Prize Problem counts as solved on the first date that, by Expiration, remains unretracted and either:
- A complete proof, disproof, or counterexample addressing the problem as originally formulated by the Clay Mathematics Institute is published in a reputable peer-reviewed mathematics or scientific journal.
- CMI or another recognized academic governing or recognition body officially states that the problem has been resolved by reference to a specific written work.
- At least two Source Agencies themselves report that the problem has been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work.
- A preprint, announcement, blog post, conference presentation, technical report, or machine-checked formalization does NOT by itself constitute a solution, but may be the written work relied upon for official recognition or qualifying Source Agency reporting.
Mercados abertos
AIKALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
- Above 72.5%96%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 63,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 63,6 mil
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-2.8pt68.6%
- ChatGPT-0.4pt15.7%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.9%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,5 mi
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 15,85%
- December 31,-3.5pt84%
- November 30,-2.0pt76%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
- 1510+45.5pt100%
- 1520-9.9pt81%
- 1530-0.1pt4%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude89.9%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT1.8%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 27,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 27,4 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem??
- A Kalshi cota Before 2027 em 64% em 15 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem? é resolvido?
- When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de outubro de 2026.
- Como When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If any AI lab solves another Millennium Prize Problem after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.