KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Before Dec 31, 2026 · —
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Preço registado
Before Dec 31, 2026 98.5%Líder entre 9 opções
Before Dec 31, 2026 98.5%Qualidade do mercado
≤74 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
26,8 mil €
Contratos em aberto
166 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: altoCompra / Venda
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Before Dec 31, 2026Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 minutos
20/10/26, 03:30 UTC31/12/26, 04:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Before Sep 25, 2026Perdeu
Before Oct 2, 2026Perdeu
Before Oct 9, 2026Perdeu
Before Oct 16, 2026Perdeu
Before Oct 23, 2026Perdeu
Before Oct 30, 2026Perdeu
Before Nov 6, 2026Perdeu
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Before Dec 31, 2026
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
When will OpenAI release GPT-7?
KalshiWhen will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?
Manifold MarketsOn what date will OpenAI release GPT-6.2 Astra?
Manifold MarketsWhen will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
KalshiBefore 2027, will OpenAI release a frontier model with a 5:1 or better abstention to hallucination ratio on SimpleQA?
Manifold MarketsBefore 2027, will OpenAI release a Frontier Model trained according to their "Why LLMs hallucinate" paper?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If OpenAI releases a model called Astra 6.1 or greater to the public before Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:OpenAI
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
Regras de cada resultado
- Before Dec 31, 2026
- If OpenAI releases a model called Astra 6.1 or greater to the public before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 13, 2026
- If OpenAI releases a model called Astra 6.1 or greater to the public before Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 25, 2026
- If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 2, 2026
- If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 9, 2026
- If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 16, 2026
- If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 23, 2026
- If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 30, 2026
- If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 6, 2026
- If OpenAI releases a model called Astra 6.1 or greater to the public before Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
