KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Hodge Conjecture 92%+45.0ptLíder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
33 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
344,6 €
Liquidez
1 mil €
Baixa liquidezSpread
85.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
12/09/26, 22:00 UTC1/01/45, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
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KalshiRegras
If the named outcome is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The GuardianNational Academy of Sciences of the United StatesFinancial TimesAssociated Pressthe Clay Mathematics InstituteNaturearXiv preprint repository operated by Cornell UniversityRoyal Societythe American Mathematical Societythe International Mathematical UnionThe Washington Postthe New York TimesMax Planck SocietyAmerican Association for the Advancement of ScienceBritish Broadcasting CorporationQuanta MagazineThe Wall Street JournalFrench Academy of SciencesBloomberg NewsReutersProceedings of the National Academy of SciencesThe Economist
- A Millennium Prize Problem is considered Solved at the earliest time that any of the following occurs:
- A complete proof, disproof, or counterexample addressing the problem as officially formulated is published in a peer-reviewed journal.
- The Clay Mathematics Institute or another recognized authoritative academic body officially recognizes in writing that the problem has been resolved by reference to a specific written work.
- At least two Source Agencies report that the problem has been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work.
- If multiple problems have the same Solution Time, each is treated as the next problem Solved and the market resolves to 1/N, where N is the number of tied problems.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Manifold Markets — Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? · Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness 98%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next??
- A Kalshi cota Hodge Conjecture em 92% em 17 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? é resolvido?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2045.
- Como Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the named outcome is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Manifold Markets.