Previsão da comunidade atual
Sim 80.6%
Previsores
31
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado21/06/23, 18:58 UTC1/01/35, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Russia surpass Japan in GDP per capita (PPP) by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Poland surpass the UK in GDP per capita by PPP prior to 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill China's GDP per capita surpass Japan's by the end of 2035?
Manifold MarketsChina’s government budget balance in 2026
KalshiChina Annual GDP Growth 2026
PolymarketChina unemployment rate in August
KalshiRegras
Source is IMF. 2023 values are 73.34k for Taiwan and 80.03 for USA.
- Resolves N/A if China invades Taiwan:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/O/will-china-invade-taiwan-by-2035) I think this is very likely based on the indicators of economic freedom and IQ, the rate of recent development, and the AI-induced boom in semiconductors.
Mercados abertos
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 89,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mi
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 541,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 30,7 mil
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 334,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 12,8 mil
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 10,7 mil
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Volume total
- € 612,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 6,9 mil
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Volume total
- € 2,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 5,3 mil
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Taiwan surpass the USA in GDP (PPP) per capita before 2035 if it isn't invaded by China??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 81% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Taiwan surpass the USA in GDP (PPP) per capita before 2035 if it isn't invaded by China? é resolvido?
- Will Taiwan surpass the USA in GDP (PPP) per capita before 2035 if it isn't invaded by China? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2035.
- Como Will Taiwan surpass the USA in GDP (PPP) per capita before 2035 if it isn't invaded by China? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Source is IMF. 2023 values are 73.34k for Taiwan and 80.03 for USA.