Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 52%
Previsores
10
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado9/05/23, 17:22 UTC1/01/52, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Taiwan surpass the USA in GDP (PPP) per capita before 2035 if it isn't invaded by China?
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Manifold MarketsChina GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
PolymarketIn which decade will China's GDP surpass US GDP?
Manifold MarketsWill China's GDP surpass US GDP before 2035?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolves NA if this market resolves Yes
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/JonathanRay/will-china-still-be-controlled-by-t) Otherwise it resolves the same as this market:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/JonathanRay/will-chinas-gdpppp-per-capita-catch)
Mercados abertos
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 89,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mi
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 541,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 30,7 mil
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 334,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 12,8 mil
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 10,7 mil
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Volume total
- € 612,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 6,9 mil
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Volume total
- € 2,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 5,3 mil
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Conditional on CCP losing power, will China's GDP-PPP per capita catch up with EU by 2050??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 52% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Conditional on CCP losing power, will China's GDP-PPP per capita catch up with EU by 2050? é resolvido?
- Conditional on CCP losing power, will China's GDP-PPP per capita catch up with EU by 2050? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2052.
- Como Conditional on CCP losing power, will China's GDP-PPP per capita catch up with EU by 2050? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves NA if this market resolves Yes