Will Argentina start another war over the Falklands before April 2027?
GeopolíticaOne-OffLatin America6mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 94.1%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
26/04/26, 16:03 UTC31/03/27, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any time before April 26, 2027, the government of Argentina initiates, declares, or engages in an armed military conflict against the United Kingdom with the explicit objective of taking control of the Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas).
- An "armed military conflict" implies official military engagement between the armed forces of both nations.
- This market resolves to NO if no such conflict occurs before the specified date.
- The primary sources for resolution will be official announcements from the governments of the United Kingdom and Argentina, as well as reporting from reputable international news outlets (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, BBC).
- If the event occurs, the market will resolve based on confirmation from these sources.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Argentina start another war over the Falklands before April 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 94% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Argentina start another war over the Falklands before April 2027? é resolvido?
- Will Argentina start another war over the Falklands before April 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de março de 2027.
- Como Will Argentina start another war over the Falklands before April 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria