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  3. UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

0.1% (24h)One-OffPolíticaGeopolíticaLatin America6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 4%
Qualidade do mercado

44 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

89,8 €

Liquidez

10,8 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

3.1% / 4.9%

Spread

58.1%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

+0.1%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 1 minuto

27/04/26, 22:0631/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes4%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom formally announces the transfer of sovereignty over any area of the Falkland Islands to Argentina by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • An official announcement from the government of the United Kingdom confirming that sovereignty of any part of the Falkland Islands has been or will be legally and officially transferred to Argentina is required.
  • Negotiations, announcements or claims solely from Argentina, or other actions which do not definitively announce the transfer of sovereignty over the Falkland Islands will not qualify.
  • A consensus of credible reporting that the United Kingdom and Argentina have agreed to a binding agreement or legal instrument resulting in a defined area of the Falkland Islands coming under the formal sovereignty of Argentina will also qualify, even if the effective date of the sovereignty transfer occurs after the market deadline.
  • The primary resolution source will be official government statements from the United Kingdom and Argentina; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom formally announces the transfer of sovereignty over any area of the Falkland Islands to Argentina by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • An official announcement from the government of the United Kingdom confirming that sovereignty of any part of the Falkland Islands has been or will be legally and officially transferred to Argentina is required.
  • Negotiations, announcements or claims solely from Argentina, or other actions which do not definitively announce the transfer of sovereignty over the Falkland Islands will not qualify.
  • A consensus of credible reporting that the United Kingdom and Argentina have agreed to a binding agreement or legal instrument resulting in a defined area of the Falkland Islands coming under the formal sovereignty of Argentina will also qualify, even if the effective date of the sovereignty transfer occurs after the market deadline.
  • The primary resolution source will be official government statements from the United Kingdom and Argentina; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.