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  3. Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

1.0% (24h)YearlyPolíticaGeopolítica6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 11%+0.0%
Qualidade do mercado

44 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

56,3 €

Liquidez

15,7 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

10.0% / 11.0%

Spread

10.0%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

-4.0%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 2 minutos

5/01/26, 19:1931/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes11%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (including U.S. military, CIA, or any U.S. federal law enforcement agency) directly participate on the ground in an operation that results in the capture of a qualifying head of state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Only individuals who are the active head of state of a UN member state at the time of capture will qualify.
  • Acting/interim heads of state will qualify if they are widely recognized as holding the head-of-state office at that time.
  • For the purposes of this market, “capture” means the head of state is taken into physical custody and detained (including arrest, detention, or seizure) such that they are no longer free to leave at will, even if only temporarily.
  • Voluntary surrender may qualify if it results in immediate detention/custody.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,968.51+2.66%SolanaSOL$65.39+2.08%EthereumETH$1,661.66+2.03%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.85%HyperliquidHYPE$55.99+0.83%XRPXRP$1.12+0.85%

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (including U.S. military, CIA, or any U.S. federal law enforcement agency) directly participate on the ground in an operation that results in the capture of a qualifying head of state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Only individuals who are the active head of state of a UN member state at the time of capture will qualify.
  • Acting/interim heads of state will qualify if they are widely recognized as holding the head-of-state office at that time.
  • For the purposes of this market, “capture” means the head of state is taken into physical custody and detained (including arrest, detention, or seizure) such that they are no longer free to leave at will, even if only temporarily.
  • Voluntary surrender may qualify if it results in immediate detention/custody.