Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by which date?
1.5 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffPolíticaLatin AmericaGeopolítica3m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
December 31 4%-1.5ptLíder entre 3 opções
Qualidade do mercado
63 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
882,3 €
Liquidez
20,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
23
Variação 7d
-1.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
18/05/26, 14:12 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
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PolymarketRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Raul Castro is taken into U.S. government custody at any point by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Raul Castro will be considered taken into U.S. government custody if U.S. government personnel (including military, CIA, personnel of another agency, or contractors acting under direct U.S. government authority) physically detain, arrest, capture, or otherwise assume physical custodial control of Raul Castro, regardless of location or duration.
- Visits, interactions with U.S. government personnel, or Raul Castro’s presence in U.S. spaces (including vessels, bases, facilities, or meetings) in a voluntary, non-detained capacity will not qualify.
- A voluntary surrender to U.S. personnel in which Raul Castro submits to U.S. custody, however, will qualify.
- Custody that is carried out by non-U.S. entities (including allied or partner forces) will not qualify unless U.S. personnel are physically present and themselves assume custodial control of Raul Castro, or unless a subsequent transfer into U.S. custody occurs.
