Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 82.2%
Previsores
8
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado22/11/25, 17:01 UTC1/01/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Raúl Castro, born June 3, 1931, dies before January 1, 2027.
- Resolution will be confirmed through major news outlets reporting his death.
- The market resolves NO if he remains alive through December 31, 2026.
- Raúl Castro served as President of Cuba between 2008 and 2018 and announced his retirement at the Eighth Congress of the Communist Party of Cuba in April 2021.
- The retired general is 94 years old as of October 2025.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Raul Castro dies before 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 82% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Raul Castro dies before 2027? é resolvido?
- Raul Castro dies before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Raul Castro dies before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria