Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by...?
US PoliticsOne-OffPolíticaGeopolíticaLatin America5m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem cotações ao vivo
Dados de 27 de jul. de 2026, 17:10 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atualDecember 31 19%-0.5pt
Qualidade do mercado
31 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidez
7,2 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
- / 0.1%
Variação 7d
-0.7 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
18/05/26, 14:1231/12/26, 0:00
Tendências
0%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
December 3119%
Tendência de volume
$85 de jul.5d de dados11 de jul.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel is taken into U.S. government custody at any point by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Miguel Díaz-Canel will be considered taken into U.S. government custody if U.S. government personnel (including military, CIA, personnel of another agency, or contractors acting under direct U.S. government authority) physically detain, arrest, capture, or otherwise assume physical custodial control of Miguel Díaz-Canel, regardless of location or duration.
- Visits, interactions with U.S. government personnel, or Miguel Díaz-Canel’s presence in U.S. spaces (including vessels, bases, facilities, or meetings) in a voluntary, non-detained capacity will not qualify.
- A voluntary surrender to U.S. personnel in which Miguel Díaz-Canel submits to U.S. custody, however, will qualify.
- Custody that is carried out by non-U.S. entities (including allied or partner forces) will not qualify unless U.S. personnel are physically present and themselves assume custodial control of Miguel Díaz-Canel, or unless a subsequent transfer into U.S. custody occurs.