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  3. Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

5.5% (24h)One-OffPolíticaLatin America18d
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
December 31
December 31 59%+5.5%
Líder entre 3 opções
Qualidade do mercado

91 / 100

Alta qualidade
Volume 24h

3,7 mil €

Liquidez

60,6 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

58.0% / 59.0%

Spread

1.7%

Spread apertado
Variação 7d

+8.0%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 4 minutos

4/01/26, 18:5230/06/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
March 31
March 31
0%

Resultado escolhido

December 3159%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cuba’s current leader, Miguel Díaz-Canel, is removed from power for any length of time by the listed date, ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, Díaz-Canel will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise ceases to hold (or is publicly reported to be unable to perform the duties of) the office of First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba, which is widely regarded as Cuba’s top political post, within this market’s timeframe.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cuba’s current leader, Miguel Díaz-Canel, is removed from power for any length of time by the listed date, ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, Díaz-Canel will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise ceases to hold (or is publicly reported to be unable to perform the duties of) the office of First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba, which is widely regarded as Cuba’s top political post, within this market’s timeframe.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.