KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 87%
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
160,8 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
3/09/26, 23:30 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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Will the US recognise Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands in 2026?
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If the US agrees to or announces recognition of Argentina's sovereignty over the Falkland Islands before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A definitive official announcement made before the deadline qualifies even if recognition takes effect later.
- A statement that only acknowledges Argentina's claim, reviews U.S. policy, supports negotiations, recognizes de facto U.K. administration, opposes the U.K. without recognizing Argentina, or concerns practical cooperation or resources does NOT qualify.
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the US recognize Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands??
- A Kalshi cota No em 87% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the US recognize Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands? é resolvido?
- Will the US recognize Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will the US recognize Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the US agrees to or announces recognition of Argentina's sovereignty over the Falkland Islands before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.