Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027?
Latin AmericaOne-Off1aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 95.7%
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Atualizado há 3 minutos
24/01/24, 18:29 UTC1/01/28, 04:59 UTC
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Milei's new administration has reiterated his desire to regain the Falklands as Argentine possessions (spanish announcement here).
- Given he's outright ruled out the use of force (as he correctly observed that didn't go well last time), he's announced he intends to explore "all diplomatic channels."
- This market resolves YES if the Falklands have returned to Argentine possession by the close date, or if an official agreement has been ratified between Britain and Argentina about transferring sovereignty of the islands to Argentina on some fixed timeline.
- This remains a YES even if there are some caveats to that sovereignty, so long as the international community recognizes the islands as being Argentine territory.
- I reserve the right to adjudicate edge cases of this sort by my own sole opinion.
- It resolves NO if the Falklands remain a British possession at market close, or if some other country has taken them over.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 96% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027? é resolvido?
- Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2028.
- Como Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Milei's new administration has reiterated his desire to regain the Falklands as Argentine possessions (spanish announcement here).