Will an AI tool be able to generate a feature-length movie about the OpenAI drama before the regular movie comes out?
FedOne-OffIATecnologiaEntretenimento3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 92.3%
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12
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado20/11/23, 20:48 UTC2/01/27, 05:59 UTC
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Because the resolution criteria are somewhat subjective, I will not be trading in this market.
- Basically trying to answer this as a reasonable person would:
- I'm imagining a movie that looks like a live-action film; cartoons don't count.
- It should clearly depict the story of OpenAI's firing-Sama drama, etc. I think it's okay if the script was written by a human who fed it to a model that produced the movie.
- It would be nice, of course, if the script were mostly generated by an LLM, but that part is doable with the right prompt engineering using current technology, so it shouldn't be part of the resolution criteria.
Mercados abertos
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.1%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt2%
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POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
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ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt49.5%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt43.5%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
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- € 543,8 mil
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
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- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt2%
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- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.8pt2%
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- Volume total
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.9pt91%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.6pt8%
- Exactly 2 cuts1%
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- Volume total
- € 7,6 mi
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will an AI tool be able to generate a feature-length movie about the OpenAI drama before the regular movie comes out??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 92% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will an AI tool be able to generate a feature-length movie about the OpenAI drama before the regular movie comes out? é resolvido?
- Will an AI tool be able to generate a feature-length movie about the OpenAI drama before the regular movie comes out? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will an AI tool be able to generate a feature-length movie about the OpenAI drama before the regular movie comes out? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Because the resolution criteria are somewhat subjective, I will not be trading in this market.