Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 69.7%
Previsores
9
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 minutos
22/02/25, 17:18 UTC1/01/00, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution Criteria:
- The question will resolve to YES if at least one of the following occurs:
- The broader unemployment rate (U-6) reaches 25% or higher
- The labor force participation rate drops by 25% or more from its 2024 baseline of 62.5%.
- In this context the LFPR should fall to 46.9% or lower.
- This question is concerned with lost jobs and not the number of hours worked per week.
