Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027?
GeopolíticaOne-Off1a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 89.1%
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado4/04/26, 11:33 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027?
- The ship must not be decommissioned but must be actively in service.
- The perpetrator could be a state’s navy, a special operations unit, a terrorist organization, or a lone terrorist. “Sunk” means that the ship is rendered unseaworthy and at least 50% of its above-water superstructure is submerged.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if, before 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2027, a cruise ship is sunk by a state military force, a terrorist organization, or a lone actor.
- For the purpose of this market:
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 89% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027? é resolvido?
- Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027?