Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal?
Política dos EUAGeopolíticaOne-Off3a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 92%
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54
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado8/01/25, 00:09 UTC31/12/29, 15:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Any use of military force whether sucessful or not will resolve to Yes.
- Use of military force will be interpreted as employing any branch of the US Department of Defense to attack, intimidate, or coerce via military weapons, officers, officials, soldiers, technology and/or intelligence.
- Update 2026-01-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve NO if there are no credible reports or evidence to suggest the US military is involved to take over Greenland at any time during Donald Trump's 2nd term.
- Note: The creator's clarification only mentions Greenland, not the Panama Canal, which is also part of the market question.