Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal?
US PoliticsGeopolíticaOne-Off3a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 86%
Previsores
53
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado8/01/25, 00:09 UTC31/12/29, 15:59 UTC
Tendências
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KalshiWill the US control Greenland in 2026?
FutuurRegras
Any use of military force whether sucessful or not will resolve to Yes.
- Use of military force will be interpreted as employing any branch of the US Department of Defense to attack, intimidate, or coerce via military weapons, officers, officials, soldiers, technology and/or intelligence.
- Update 2026-01-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve NO if there are no credible reports or evidence to suggest the US military is involved to take over Greenland at any time during Donald Trump's 2nd term.
- Note: The creator's clarification only mentions Greenland, not the Panama Canal, which is also part of the market question.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 86% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal? é resolvido?
- Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2029.
- Como Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Any use of military force whether sucessful or not will resolve to Yes.