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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Geopolítica
  3. US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

2.0% (24h)GeopolíticaOne-OffUS Politics6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 11%+0.0%
Qualidade do mercado

73 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

5,5 mil €

Liquidez

24,8 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

10.0% / 11.0%

Spread

10.0%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

+0.5%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 6 minutos

13/11/25, 21:4631/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes11%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
  • An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur.
  • Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
  • An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur.
  • Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.