Which party will win the popular vote in Texas in the 2028 presidential election?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualRepublican Party 68.1%Líder entre 3 opções
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2
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
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Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-20.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado6/11/26, 00:57 UTC8/11/28, 12:00 UTC
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KalshiRegras
Resolves to the party of the presidential ticket with the most votes in Texas in the November 7, 2028 election, per Texas's certified result.
- Only the vote count matters: how Texas awards its electoral votes, including under a national popular vote compact, doesn't.
- Only the party matters: a ticket on the Democratic or Republican line counts as that party even if also listed on other parties' lines.
- Any other ticket resolves to Other, or to its own answer if one has been added.
- Resolves on the certified result, or earlier once the AP has called it and no recount could change it.
- N/A if Texas holds no popular vote for President.