Which party will win the popular vote in Minnesota in the 2028 presidential election?
3.3 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualDemocratic Party 70.9%+3.3ptLíder entre 3 opções
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Atualizado há 15 minutos
6/11/26, 00:52 UTC8/11/28, 12:00 UTC
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KalshiThird-party share of the 2028 presidential popular vote?
KalshiRegras
Resolves to the party of the presidential ticket with the most votes in Minnesota in the November 7, 2028 election, per Minnesota's certified result.
- Only the vote count matters: how Minnesota awards its electoral votes, including under a national popular vote compact, doesn't.
- Only the party matters: a ticket on the Democratic or Republican line counts as that party even if also listed on other parties' lines.
- Any other ticket resolves to Other, or to its own answer if one has been added.
- The DFL line counts as Democratic.
- Resolves on the certified result, or earlier once the AP has called it and no recount could change it.
