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Dados de 6 de nov. de 2026, 13:48 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Ponto médio do livro selecionado
Wisconsin · —
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Preço registado
Wisconsin 51.5%Líder entre 5 opções
Wisconsin 51.5%Qualidade do mercado
48 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
3,7 mil €
Contratos em aberto
4 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
— / —
WisconsinSpread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado5/11/26, 03:00 UTC7/11/28, 04:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Wisconsin
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
If the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact comes into effect before 2029, will the Supreme Court block it?
Manifold MarketsWill the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact be in effect for the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsHow much progress will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact make by the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill the National Popular Vote compact reach 270 electoral votes?
KalshiWhich party will win the national popular vote in the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact go into effect by July 2028?
PredictItRegras
If legislation joining the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact is enacted in Wisconsin before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness The following do NOT constitute enactment: Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges. The effective date of the law is not relevant; only that it has been enacted. A state counts once its law joining the compact is enacted, even though the compact takes effect only when member states hold at least 270 electoral votes.
Regras de cada resultado
- Wisconsin
- If legislation joining the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact is enacted in Wisconsin before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Michigan
- If legislation joining the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact is enacted in Michigan before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nevada
- If legislation joining the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact is enacted in Nevada before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Arizona
- If legislation joining the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact is enacted in Arizona before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pennsylvania
- If legislation joining the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact is enacted in Pennsylvania before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
