KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Before 2034 · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Preço registado
Before 2034 30%Líder entre 4 opções
Before 2034 30%Qualidade do mercado
31 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Contratos em aberto
682 US$
Contratos em aberto: baixoCompra / Venda
— / —
Before 2034Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
14/04/26, 21:00 UTC1/01/28, 15:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Before 2034
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
In the 2028 presidential election will at least one state assign its electoral votes based on the national popular vote?
Manifold MarketsWill the loser get 228 or more electoral votes in the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsHow many electoral votes will the Democratic presidential candidate win in 2028? [overlapping ranges]
Manifold MarketsWhen will be the next year that a presidential candidate gets at least 500 electoral votes?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRegras
If states that have enacted the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact possess at least 270 electoral votes before Jan 1, 2034, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, a state or jurisdiction has "enacted" NPVIC legislation when such legislation has been signed into law by the governor, has become law without the governor's signature after the constitutional waiting period, or has been enacted by veto override; or has otherwise become law. The effective date of the law is not relevant; only that it has been enacted. Electoral votes are counted based on the apportionment in effect at the time of when the relevant law is enacted. States that have withdrawn from the compact through repeal legislation are not counted toward the total. If a state's membership in the compact is invalidated by a final court ruling before Jan 1, 203…
Liquida via:National Popular Vote Inc
Regras de cada resultado
- Before 2034
- If states that have enacted the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact possess at least 270 electoral votes before Jan 1, 2034, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, a state or jurisdiction has "enacted" NPVIC legislation when such legislation has been signed into law by the governor, has become law without the governor's signature after the constitutional waiting period, or has been enacted by veto override; or has otherwise become law. The effective date of the law is not relevant; only that it has been enacted. Electoral votes are counted based on the apportionment in effect at the time of when the relevant law is enacted. States that have withdrawn from the compact through repeal legislation are not counted toward the total. If a state's membership in the compact is invalidated by a final court ruling before Jan 1, 203…
- Before 2032
- If states that have enacted the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact possess at least 270 electoral votes before Jan 1, 2032, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, a state or jurisdiction has "enacted" NPVIC legislation when such legislation has been signed into law by the governor, has become law without the governor's signature after the constitutional waiting period, or has been enacted by veto override; or has otherwise become law. The effective date of the law is not relevant; only that it has been enacted. Electoral votes are counted based on the apportionment in effect at the time of when the relevant law is enacted. States that have withdrawn from the compact through repeal legislation are not counted toward the total. If a state's membership in the compact is invalidated by a final court ruling before Jan 1, 203…
- Before 2030
- If states that have enacted the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact possess at least 270 electoral votes before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, a state or jurisdiction has "enacted" NPVIC legislation when such legislation has been signed into law by the governor, has become law without the governor's signature after the constitutional waiting period, or has been enacted by veto override; or has otherwise become law. The effective date of the law is not relevant; only that it has been enacted. Electoral votes are counted based on the apportionment in effect at the time of when the relevant law is enacted. States that have withdrawn from the compact through repeal legislation are not counted toward the total. If a state's membership in the compact is invalidated by a final court ruling before Jan 1, 203…
- Before 2028
- If states that have enacted the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact possess at least 270 electoral votes before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, a state or jurisdiction has "enacted" NPVIC legislation when such legislation has been signed into law by the governor, has become law without the governor's signature after the constitutional waiting period, or has been enacted by veto override; or has otherwise become law. The effective date of the law is not relevant; only that it has been enacted. Electoral votes are counted based on the apportionment in effect at the time of when the relevant law is enacted. States that have withdrawn from the compact through repeal legislation are not counted toward the total. If a state's membership in the compact is invalidated by a final court ruling before Jan 1, 202…
