Which party will win the popular vote in Pennsylvania in the 2028 presidential election?
0.1 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualDemocratic Party 66.3%+0.1ptLíder entre 3 opções
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Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado6/11/26, 00:56 UTC8/11/28, 12:00 UTC
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KalshiThird-party share of the 2028 presidential popular vote?
KalshiRegras
Resolves to the party of the presidential ticket with the most votes in Pennsylvania in the November 7, 2028 election, per Pennsylvania's certified result.
- Only the vote count matters: how Pennsylvania awards its electoral votes, including under a national popular vote compact, doesn't.
- Only the party matters: a ticket on the Democratic or Republican line counts as that party even if also listed on other parties' lines.
- Any other ticket resolves to Other, or to its own answer if one has been added.
- Resolves on the certified result, or earlier once the AP has called it and no recount could change it.
- N/A if Pennsylvania holds no popular vote for President.