Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualPermanently occupy Gaza like they’re occupying the West Bank 61.2%Líder entre 6 opções
Previsores
41
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado31/10/23, 16:20 UTC28/12/26, 21:59 UTC
Tendências
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Inspired by Scott:
- https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/mantic-monday-103023
- "I can’t find any markets on the Middle East topic I’m actually interested in, which is Israel’s medium-term plan.
- Will they the named outcome? the named outcome? the named outcome? These all seem like bad options, but they’re very different bad options, and I haven’t seen much speculation about which is most likely."
- Close date may be extended if it seems like the situation hasn't settled down.
- Update 2024-10-12 (PST): The market will resolve as 'Permanently occupy Gaza like they're occupying the West Bank' unless the creator is convinced otherwise.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de What is Israel’s medium-term plan (what will end up happening?)??
- A Manifold Markets cota Permanently occupy Gaza like they’re occupying the West Bank em 61% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando What is Israel’s medium-term plan (what will end up happening?)? é resolvido?
- What is Israel’s medium-term plan (what will end up happening?)? deverá ser resolvido em 28 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como What is Israel’s medium-term plan (what will end up happening?)? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Inspired by Scott: