PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Não · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Referência guardada
Não 98%
Não 98%Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
895,2 €
Baixa liquidezContratos em aberto
1,6 mil US$
Compra / Venda
— / —
NãoSpread
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Comentários
0
Variação 7d
-0.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
2/07/26, 14:49 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Ordem mínima (cotas):
- 5
- Incremento de preço:
- 0,1 pontos percentuais
- Taxas:
- Sim
Maiores detentores
Carregando maiores detentores
Profundidade de mercado · Não
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.