Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 85.6%
Previsores
12
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado22/12/25, 09:28 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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PolymarketEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by which date?
PolymarketU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
PolymarketRegras
Resolves YES if there is no report of these in the common media channels in 2026:
- Velina’s Foresight for 2026:
- 1) No hot war between US, China & Russia (sorry to all folks selling doom-and-gloom about WW3)
- 2) No military attack by China on Taiwan (further rise of tensions)
- 3) No nuclear exchange or direct conventional confrontation between Russia and Europe
- https://x.com/i/status/2002804420896039404
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 22,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 470,8 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- € 35,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 100,1 mil
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 mais resultados
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Velina Tchakarova's three NO WAR predictions for 2026?
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 86% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Velina Tchakarova's three NO WAR predictions for 2026 é resolvido?
- Velina Tchakarova's three NO WAR predictions for 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Velina Tchakarova's three NO WAR predictions for 2026 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if there is no report of these in the common media channels in 2026: