Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Will Syria be Democratic? 28.6%Líder entre 4 opções
Previsores
39
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
9/12/24, 22:54 UTC1/01/27, 02:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketWill the United States cease its military campaign in Syria by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel withdraw from the buffer zone with Syria by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Syria recognize Israel by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsIsrael military action against Syria by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Syria by which date?
PolymarketRegras
Syria has been embroiled in a complex civil war since 2011.
- Recent developments include the overthrow of Assad's government and the emergence of new leadership under Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), an Islamist group that has announced plans for a transitional government and free elections.
- The country faces significant challenges in establishing stability and governance while managing various ethnic, religious, and political factions.
- Resolution Criteria
- Markets will resolve based on the following criteria as of December 31, 2026:
- Secular: Resolves YES if Syria's constitution and legal system explicitly separate religion from state governance.
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 22,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 581,3 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 mais resultados
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- € 55,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 96,8 mil
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Predictions about Syria in 2026?
- A Manifold Markets cota Will Syria be Democratic? em 29% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Predictions about Syria in 2026 é resolvido?
- Predictions about Syria in 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Predictions about Syria in 2026 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Syria has been embroiled in a complex civil war since 2011.