Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 76.8%
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Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado13/01/26, 17:12 UTC30/06/29, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia invade a NATO country by which date?
PolymarketRegras
Credible sources, battles or clear Russian troops on the other side of the border.
- Or, bombs them, or does drone strikes.
- Or other kinetic attacks.
- Threats leading to concessions of territory or political union would not count because it's too hard to evaluate.
- There has to be at least a shot fired.