Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 91.5%
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28
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado5/03/24, 12:47 UTC1/07/28, 06:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
Referring to land controlled by Russia today in 2024.
- So, things like talking action to reclaim land from some earlier set of borders would count.
- YES requires credible sources, battles or clear Chinese troops on the other side of the border.
- Or, China having bombed anything on the Russian side, or does drone strikes.
- Or other kinetic attacks.
- Threats leading to concessions of territory or political union would not count because it's too hard to evaluate.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de China attacks or invades Russia's territory by mid 2028?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 92% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando China attacks or invades Russia's territory by mid 2028 é resolvido?
- China attacks or invades Russia's territory by mid 2028 deverá ser resolvido em 1 de julho de 2028.
- Como China attacks or invades Russia's territory by mid 2028 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Referring to land controlled by Russia today in 2024.