Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Yes (94.6%)
Resolvido: 12 de out. de 2026, 13:49
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Resultado Vencedor
Yes
A 7 dias
—
A 24 horas
95%
ConsensoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 13 de out. de 2026, 00:28 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Yes94.6%
No5.400000000000006%
Ganhou
Perdeu
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Over 99% of the internet across borders travels through undersea fiber optic cables.
- There are about 500 of these cables, and each year about 200 need to be repaired (mostly due to accidents).
- It is trivial for military to deliberately break these cables.
- There are in most cases redundancies, but if enough break there could be massive outages across the internet.
- An outage affecting a single country will be enough for this market to resolve to YES.
- An outage that reduces speeds significantly even though there is still connectivity will resolve to YES.
